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United States G. Elliott Morris is a data journalist and election forecaster known for his independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion, and elections.
FiftyPlusOne will publish polling averages and election forecasts, and make bespoke data collection available to individuals and business clients.
Morris is a data journalist at The Economist whose work has previously appeared in the Crystal Ball. He played a key role in building The Economist's forecasts of the 2020 U.S. presidential election.
G. Elliott Morris, the data journalist who took over 538 in 2023, is launching Strength In Numbers, a paid Substack, after 538 shut down.
Strength In Numbers does polling in partnership with Verasight, an online pollster, as mentioned in a discussion with Paul Krugman.
Chartwell Speakers announced the addition of G. Elliott Morris, describing him as a data-driven author and journalist.
G. Elliott Morris was featured by the Niskanen Center in an article discussing the past and future of polling.
G. Elliott Morris has been a guest on Paul Krugman's Substack, 'Notes on economics and more', discussing political polling, the economy, and democracy.
George Elliott Morris was born on June 7, 1996. He graduated from the University of Texas at Austin in 2018 with undergraduate degrees in government and history. While still an undergraduate, Morris gained recognition for his project models that accurately predicted the Democratic Party regaining control of the House in the 2018 elections. This early achievement launched his career in data journalism and election forecasting.
From 2018 to 2023, Morris worked as a data journalist for The Economist. During this period, he developed a model for the 2020 U.S. presidential election, which was one of the first major models predicting the election’s outcome. His model projected Joe Biden with an 87 percent chance of winning by August 1, 2020. In May 2023, Morris was hired by ABC News to lead FiveThirtyEight as the editorial director of data analytics, following Nate Silver’s departure. Under his leadership, FiveThirtyEight’s models for the 2024 elections correctly predicted Republicans winning the U.S. Senate and Donald Trump winning the presidential election with 312 electoral votes. He also authored the book “Strength in Numbers: How Polls Work and Why We Need Them” in 2022.
Morris and the entire FiveThirtyEight staff were laid off in March 2025 when the site was shut down. Two months later, he launched a newsletter called “Strength in Numbers,” which he stated was intended to be a successor to FiveThirtyEight. This new platform continues his work in independent, data-driven political analysis and has garnered over 38,000 subscribers, providing detailed insights into political polling and public opinion.
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